Polymarket MLB: AL Manager of the Year odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Will Venable, at 87%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $242 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 87¢ reads as an 87% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 3 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venable compare | 87% | 87¢ | $13 | Trade |
| Kevin Cash compare | 12% | 12¢ | $196 | Trade |
| Alex Cora compare | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Craig Albernaz | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Stephen Vogt | – | – | $32 | Trade |
| Derek Shelton | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Skip Schumaker | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| A.J. Hinch | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Dan Wilson | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mark Kotsay | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 6 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 87¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 87¢cheapest to buy | 13¢ | 0.3¢ | $13 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 88¢ | 13¢ | 0.8¢ | $148 | – | Trade → |
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 12¢ | 88¢ | 0.3¢ | $196 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 11¢cheapest to buy | 90¢ | 0.7¢ | $646 | – | Trade → |
Will Alex Cora win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $5K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 87¢ for Will Venable right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB: AL Manager of the Year?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Will Venable, at 87%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 3 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.