Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year" at 87%, with 2 venues quoting within 1 point of each other. The contract settles by Dec 31, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 87¢cheapest to buy | 13¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 88¢ | 13¢ | 0.8¢ | $148 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Will Venable wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year"?
Markets currently price it at 87% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.