Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy" at 45%, with 2 venues quoting within 1 point of each other. The contract settles on resolution; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 45¢ | 55¢ | 1.2¢ | $450 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 44¢cheapest to buy | 56¢ | 1.7¢ | $24K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently…
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Jeremiah Smith wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy"?
Markets currently price it at 45% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.