Kalshi Heisman Trophy odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Jeremiah Smith, at 44%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2027, and $528K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 44¢ reads as a 44% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket: 5 questions compared ↓
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Smith compare | 44% | 44¢ | $24K | Trade |
| Darian Mensah compare | 24% | 24¢ | $26K | Trade |
| Malachi Toney | 18% | 18¢ | $88K | Trade |
| CJ Carr compare | 5% | 5¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Drew Mestemaker | 3% | 3¢ | $51K | Trade |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 3% | 3¢ | $49K | Trade |
| Jesse Legree | 3% | 3¢ | $21K | Trade |
| Gunner Stockton | 2% | 2¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Sam Leavitt | 1% | 1¢ | $144K | Trade |
| Bear Bachmeier | 1% | 1¢ | $60K | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Weigman | 1% | 1¢ | $14K | Trade |
| Jayden Maiava | 1% | 1¢ | $12K | Trade |
| Kamario Taylor | 1% | 1¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Arch Manning | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Wayne Knight | 1% | 1¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Michael Hawkins Jr. | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Keelon Russell compare | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| LaNorris Sellers | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Jadan Baugh | 1% | 1¢ | $333 | Trade |
| Devon Dampier | 1% | 1¢ | $326 | Trade |
| William “Pop” Watson III | 1% | 1¢ | $47 | Trade |
| Nico Iamaleava | 1% | 1¢ | $47 | Trade |
| Kevin Jennings | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Julian Sayin | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Josh Hoover | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dante Moore compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| John Mateer | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Faizon Brandon | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lincoln Kienholz | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Rocco Becht | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Marcel Reed | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bryce Underwood | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Byrum Brown | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Austin Simmons | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kewan Lacy | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ahmad Hardy | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brendan Sorsby | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Will Hammond | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Demond Williams Jr. | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
9 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 44¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 45¢ | 55¢ | 1.2¢ | $450 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 44¢cheapest to buy | 56¢ | 1.7¢ | $24K | – | Trade → |
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 24¢ | 77¢ | 0.9¢ | $2K | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 24¢ | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | $26K | – | Trade → |
Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 5¢ | 96¢ | 0.3¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 4¢ | 96¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | $8K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $793 | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $2K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Who will win Heisman Trophy?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Is Kalshi safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 44¢ for Jeremiah Smith right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Heisman Trophy?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Jeremiah Smith, at 44%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 5 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.