Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds, Oct 28
Markets price Warriors 29%, Timberwolves 71%, with 3 venues quoting each result. Starts Wed, Oct 28, 8:00pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This match on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Warriors | Timberwolves | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 26¢ | 75¢ | free | $0 | $11K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 35¢ | 65¢ | 1.6¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 26¢ | 75¢ | 1.3¢ | $86 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".
Full settlement wording
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
This market will settle to the winner of the GS Warriors vs MIN Timberwolves professional basketball game scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first…
Full settlement wording
This market will settle to the winner of the GS Warriors vs MIN Timberwolves professional basketball game scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
If Golden State wins the Golden State vs Minnesota Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Lakers 69% · $766K 24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
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CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ at execution.
Common questions
What are the odds on "Warriors vs. Timberwolves"?
Markets price Warriors 29%, Timberwolves 71% across 3 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.
Where can I trade "Warriors vs. Timberwolves"?
On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.