Polymarket marketStarts Wed, Oct 28, 8:00pm ET

Polymarket Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Timberwolves, at 75%. The market settles by Oct 28, 2026, and $13 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 75¢ reads as a 75% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Timberwolves75%

All 7 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them

$13
24h volume on Polymarket
$29
total volume on Polymarket
1
open of 7 outcomes
Oct 28, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Warriors vs. Timberwolves
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Timberwolves compare 75%75¢$13Trade
Team to Score First––$0Trade
Overtime––$0Trade
Race to 20––$0Trade
Odd/Even Score––$0Trade
Race to 30––$0Trade
Race to 10––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 75¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Warriors: Warriors vs. Timberwolves: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueWarriorsTimberwolvesFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents25¢cheapest to buy75¢free$13$25KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢74¢cheapest to buy1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢74¢cheapest to buy1.3¢$86–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Timberwolves
75%▲ 3.5 pts since Oct 22
Yes price
Oct 2264% – 76% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Scheduled resolution: Oct 28, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 75¢ for Timberwolves right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Warriors vs. Timberwolves?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Timberwolves, at 75%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.