Kalshi marketStarts Wed, Oct 28, 8:00pm ET

Kalshi Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Timberwolves, at 74%. The market settles by Oct 28, 2026, and $86 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 74¢ reads as a 74% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Timberwolves74%
Warriors26%

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

$86
24h volume on Kalshi
$86
total volume on Kalshi
$86
open interest
Oct 28, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Warriors vs. Timberwolves
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Timberwolves compare 74%74¢$14Trade
Warriors compare 26%26¢$71Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 74¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Warriors: Warriors vs. Timberwolves: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueWarriorsTimberwolvesFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents25¢cheapest to buy75¢free$13$25KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢74¢cheapest to buy1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢74¢cheapest to buy1.3¢$86–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Timberwolves
74%▼ 10.0 pts since Oct 25
Yes price
Oct 2574% – 84% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Timberwolves wins”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 28, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 74¢ for Timberwolves right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Warriors vs. Timberwolves?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Timberwolves, at 74%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.