Polymarket US marketStarts Sun, Nov 1, 2:45pm ET

Polymarket US Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC odds

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Olympique de Marseille, at 50%. That is down 2 points over the past week. The market settles by Nov 1, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 50¢ reads as a 50% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket US

US residents only

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Polymarket US · odds · updated

Olympique de Marseille50%
Toulouse FC26%
Draw24%

Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: compare them

–
24h volume not published by Polymarket US
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total volume on Polymarket US
3
open of 3 outcomes
Nov 1, 2026
settles

Polymarket US odds on every outcome

Polymarket US odds on each outcome of Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Olympique de Marseille compare 50%50¢–Trade
Toulouse FC compare 26%26¢–Trade
Draw compare 24%24¢–Trade
US residents only

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 50¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket US vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Olympique de Marseille · Will Olympique de Marseille win on Nov 1, 2026?

Olympique de Marseille: Will Olympique de Marseille win on Nov 1, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents51¢50¢1.2¢$10$5KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only50¢cheapest to buy50¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus50¢cheapest to buy50¢1.8¢$193–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents24¢76¢0.9¢$0$9KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only24¢76¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus24¢77¢1.3¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Toulouse FC · Will Toulouse FC win on Nov 1, 2026?

Toulouse FC: Will Toulouse FC win on Nov 1, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents26¢74¢1.0¢$0$7KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢74¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢74¢1.3¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket US · Olympique de Marseille
50%▼ 2.0 pts since Oct 24
Yes price
Oct 2443% – 60% scaleOct 27

Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Olympique de Marseille win against Toulouse FC in the Ligue 1 match scheduled for Nov 1, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 1, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket US

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 50¢ for Olympique de Marseille right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
US residents only

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket US odds on Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC?

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Olympique de Marseille, at 50%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket US odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?

A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢; resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.