Polymarket US market

Polymarket US Serie A Top 4 Finishers odds

On Polymarket US, the busiest line, AS Roma, is at 73%. That is down 4 points over the past week. The market settles by May 30, 2027. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 73¢ reads as a 73% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket US

US residents only

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Polymarket US · odds · updated

AS Roma73%
AC Milan56%
Juventus FC49%
SS Lazio40%
SSC Napoli33%

All 12 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: 2 questions compared ↓

–
24h volume not published by Polymarket US
$21K
total volume on Polymarket US
$2K
open interest
May 30, 2027
settles

Polymarket US odds on every outcome

Polymarket US odds on each outcome of Serie A Top 4 Finishers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
AS Roma73%73¢–Trade
AC Milan56%56¢–Trade
Juventus FC compare 49%49¢–Trade
SS Lazio compare 40%40¢–Trade
SSC Napoli33%33¢–Trade
Cagliari Calcio7%7¢–Trade
Bologna FC 19095%5¢–Trade
AC Monza5%5¢–Trade
Atalanta BC5%5¢–Trade
US Lecce4%4¢–Trade
Show 2 more outcomes
Polymarket US odds on each outcome of Serie A Top 4 Finishers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Frosinone Calcio4%4¢–Trade
Parma Calcio 19133%3¢–Trade
US residents only

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 73¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket US vs Kalshi on these questions

The same questions on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Yes: Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents43¢58¢1.2¢$40$3KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only49¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus47¢53¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Yes: Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents39¢61¢1.2¢$150$670Trade →
Polymarket USUS residents only40¢61¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus32¢68¢1.5¢$13–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

How the odds have moved

Polymarket US · AS Roma
73%▼ 4.0 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1936% – 84% scaleOct 26

Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Serie A Top 4 Finishers: AS Roma”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: May 30, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket US

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 73¢ for AS Roma right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
US residents only

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket US odds on Serie A Top 4 Finishers?

On Polymarket US, the busiest line, AS Roma, is at 73%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 2 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket US odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?

A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢; resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.