Polymarket US market

Polymarket US Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers odds

On Polymarket US, the busiest line, Real Madrid CF, is at 83%. That is up 2 points over the past week. The market settles by Jan 27, 2027. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 83¢ reads as an 83% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket US

US residents only

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Polymarket US · odds · updated

Real Madrid CF83%
FC Barcelona77%
Sporting CP6%

Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: 4 questions compared ↓

–
24h volume not published by Polymarket US
$18K
total volume on Polymarket US
$305
open interest
Jan 27, 2027
settles

Polymarket US odds on every outcome

Polymarket US odds on each outcome of Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Real Madrid CF compare 83%83¢–Trade
FC Barcelona compare 77%77¢–Trade
Sporting CP compare 6%6¢–Trade
US residents only

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 83¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket US vs Kalshi on these questions

The same questions on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?

Yes: Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents96¢4¢0.2¢$0$4KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only83¢18¢1.0¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus86¢14¢0.8¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?

Yes: Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents81¢20¢0.8¢$53$2KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only77¢cheapest to buy24¢1.2¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus85¢15¢0.9¢$5–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?

Yes: Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents20¢cheapest to buy80¢0.8¢$86$4KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus27¢73¢1.4¢$49–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will Sporting CP finish top 8 in UCL league phase?

Yes: Will Sporting CP finish top 8 in UCL league phase?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents11¢90¢0.5¢$65$2KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only6¢cheapest to buy95¢0.4¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus18¢83¢1.0¢$1–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

How the odds have moved

Polymarket US · Real Madrid CF
83%▲ 2.0 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1873% – 86% scaleOct 25

Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers: Real Madrid CF”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Jan 27, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket US

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 83¢ for Real Madrid CF right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
US residents only

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket US odds on Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers?

On Polymarket US, the busiest line, Real Madrid CF, is at 83%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket US odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?

A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢; resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.