Polymarket UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Atlético Madrid, is at 21%. The market settles by Feb 28, 2027, and $623 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 21¢ reads as a 21% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: 4 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 21% | 21¢ | $183 | Trade |
| Inter Milan compare | 20% | 20¢ | $86 | Trade |
| Sporting CP compare | 11% | 11¢ | $65 | Trade |
| Barcelona compare | 81% | 81¢ | $57 | Trade |
| Bayern Munich | 58% | 58¢ | $36 | Trade |
| Como | 16% | 16¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Real Madrid compare | 96% | 96¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 93% | 93¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Arsenal | 92% | 92¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Liverpool | 82% | 82¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 25 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Aston Villa | 50% | 50¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Real Betis | 43% | 43¢ | $0 | Trade |
| VfB Stuttgart | 33% | 33¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Borussia Dortmund | 20% | 20¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Club Brugge | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Manchester United | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Villarreal | 7% | 7¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Napoli | 7% | 7¢ | $0 | Trade |
| RB Leipzig | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Feyenoord | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| PSV Eindhoven | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sabah | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fenerbahçe | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Viking | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lens | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lille | 1% | 1¢ | $100 | Trade |
| Bodø/Glimt | 2% | 2¢ | $86 | Trade |
| LASK | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Galatasaray | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slovan Bratislava | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Porto | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| AEK Athens | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slavia Prague | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 21¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 96¢ | 4¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | $4K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 83¢ | 18¢ | 1.0¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 86¢ | 14¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 81¢ | 20¢ | 0.8¢ | $57 | $2K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 77¢cheapest to buy | 24¢ | 1.2¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 85¢ | 15¢ | 0.9¢ | $5 | – | Trade → |
Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 20¢cheapest to buy | 80¢ | 0.8¢ | $86 | $4K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 27¢ | 73¢ | 1.4¢ | $49 | – | Trade → |
Will Sporting CP finish top 8 in UCL league phase?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 11¢ | 90¢ | 0.5¢ | $65 | $2K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 6¢cheapest to buy | 95¢ | 0.4¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 18¢ | 83¢ | 1.0¢ | $1 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Feb 28, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 21¢ for Atlético Madrid right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Atlético Madrid, is at 21%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.