Polymarket UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Paris Saint-Germain, is at 70%. The market settles by Feb 28, 2027, and $9 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 70¢ reads as a 70% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 70% | 70¢ | $7 | Trade |
| Barcelona | 71% | 71¢ | $2 | Trade |
| Real Madrid | 72% | 72¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Arsenal | 72% | 72¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bayern Munich | 71% | 71¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Manchester City | 67% | 67¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Liverpool | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Borussia Dortmund | 34% | 34¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Manchester United | 33% | 33¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Inter Milan | 33% | 33¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 26 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 28% | 28¢ | $0 | Trade |
| VfB Stuttgart | 22% | 22¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Atlético Madrid | 22% | 22¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sporting CP | 22% | 22¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Real Betis | 21% | 21¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Como | 20% | 20¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Roma | 15% | 15¢ | $0 | Trade |
| PSV Eindhoven | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lens | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Porto | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Napoli | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Villarreal | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| RB Leipzig | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fenerbahçe | 11% | 11¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bodø/Glimt | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Feyenoord | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Club Brugge | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| AEK Athens | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lille | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Galatasaray | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slavia Prague | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LASK | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Viking | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sabah | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 70¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Feb 28, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 70¢ for Paris Saint-Germain right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Paris Saint-Germain, is at 70%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.