Polymarket US UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026 odds
On Polymarket US, the favourite is Islam Makhachev, at 98%. That is up 5 points over the past week. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 98¢ reads as a 98% chance. It also trades on Polymarket, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.
Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Polymarket US odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev | 98% | 98¢ | – | Trade |
| Carlos Prates | 4% | 4¢ | – | Trade |
| Ilia Topuria | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
| Belal Muhammad | – | – | – | Trade |
| Ian Machado Garry | – | – | – | Trade |
| Leon Edwards | – | – | – | Trade |
| Michael Morales | – | – | – | Trade |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | – | – | – | Trade |
| Kamaru Usman | – | – | – | Trade |
| Jack Della Maddalena | – | – | – | Trade |
Show 1 more outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brady | – | – | – | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 98¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Islam Makhachev”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket US
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 98¢ for Islam Makhachev right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
The same question trades on Polymarket too: Polymarket's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket US odds on UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026?
On Polymarket US, the favourite is Islam Makhachev, at 98%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket: Polymarket's page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket US odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?
A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢; resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.