Polymarket marketStarts Sat, Oct 31, 5:00pm ET

Polymarket UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Rodrigo Sezinando, at 62%. The market settles by Oct 31, 2026, and $168 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Polymarket · odds · updated

Rodrigo Sezinando62%

All 19 outcomes ↓

$168
24h volume on Polymarket
$361
total volume on Polymarket
1
open of 19 outcomes
Oct 31, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Rodrigo Sezinando62%62¢$168Trade
O/U 1.5 Rounds––$0Trade
Sezinando in Round 3––$0Trade
Decision or Draw––$0Trade
O/U 0.5 Rounds––$0Trade
O/U 2.5 Rounds––$0Trade
Berggren to win by KO/TKO––$0Trade
Ends before Round 2––$0Trade
Fight won by submission––$0Trade
Fight won by decision––$0Trade
Show 9 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Sezinando in Round 2––$0Trade
Fight to Go the Distance––$0Trade
Sezinando in Round 1––$0Trade
Ends before Round 3––$0Trade
Sezinando to win by KO/TKO––$0Trade
Berggren in Round 1––$0Trade
Fight won by KO/TKO––$0Trade
Berggren in Round 2––$0Trade
Berggren in Round 3––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 62¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Rodrigo Sezinando
62%▲ 19.5 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1937% – 62% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Theodor Berggren" if Theodor Berggren is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodrigo Sezinando at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rodrigo Sezinando" if Rodrigo Sezinando is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Scheduled resolution: Oct 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 62¢ for Rodrigo Sezinando right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Rodrigo Sezinando, at 62%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.