Polymarket market

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Alexander Volkanovski, at 92%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $11K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 92¢ reads as a 92% chance. It also trades on Polymarket US, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Alexander Volkanovski92%
Movsar Evloev3%

All 12 outcomes ↓

$11K
24h volume on Polymarket
$348K
total volume on Polymarket
2
open of 12 outcomes
Dec 31, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Alexander Volkanovski92%92¢$6KTrade
Movsar Evloev3%3¢$5KTrade
Jean Silva––$61Trade
Kevin Vallejos––$0Trade
Aljamain Sterling––$0Trade
Youssef Zalal––$0Trade
Lerone Murphy––$0Trade
Steve Garcia––$0Trade
Brian Ortega––$0Trade
Arnold Allen––$0Trade
Show 2 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Diego Lopes––$0Trade
Yair Rodriguez––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 92¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Alexander Volkanovski
92%▲ 43.8 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1948% – 98% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 92¢ for Alexander Volkanovski right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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The same question trades on Polymarket US too: Polymarket US's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on “Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?”?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Alexander Volkanovski, at 92%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.