Polymarket market

Polymarket UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Carlos Ulberg, at 27%. The market settles by Jul 25, 2027, and $489 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 27¢ reads as a 27% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Polymarket · odds · updated

Carlos Ulberg27%
Paulo Costa25%
Jiri Prochazka8%
$489
24h volume on Polymarket
$24K
total volume on Polymarket
3
open of 3 outcomes
Jul 25, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Carlos Ulberg27%27¢$103Trade
Paulo Costa25%25¢$386Trade
Jiri Prochazka8%8¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 27¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Carlos Ulberg
27%▲ 1.0 pts since Sep 28
Yes price
Sep 2821% – 35% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Magomed Ankalaev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Magomed Ankalaev is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Magomed Ankalaev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Scheduled resolution: Jul 25, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 27¢ for Carlos Ulberg right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Carlos Ulberg, at 27%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.