Polymarket Lithuania vs. Liechtenstein odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Lithuania, at 88%. The market settles by Nov 16, 2026, and $197 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 88¢ reads as an 88% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 88¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Lithuania · Will Lithuania win on Nov 16, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 88¢cheapest to buy | 13¢ | 0.5¢ | $126 | $7K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 89¢ | 12¢ | 0.7¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
Draw · Will Lithuania vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 9¢ | 91¢ | 0.4¢ | $43 | $8K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 9¢ | 92¢ | 0.5¢ | $7K | – | Trade → |
Liechtenstein · Will Liechtenstein win on Nov 16, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 3¢cheapest to buy | 97¢ | 0.1¢ | $28 | $10K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 4¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $4K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Lithuania and Liechtenstein, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Scheduled resolution: Nov 16, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 88¢ for Lithuania right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More sports markets
France vs. Türkiye
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$175K in 24h, both venues
Finland vs. San Marino
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$68K in 24h, both venues
Spain vs. England
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$341K in 24h, both venues
Belgium vs. Italy
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$95K in 24h, both venues
Wales vs. Portugal
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 17, 2026
$10K in 24h, both venues
Germany vs. Netherlands
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 16, 2026
$23K in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Lithuania vs. Liechtenstein?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Lithuania, at 88%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.