Polymarket market

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, Yes trades at 6%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 6¢ reads as a 6% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Yes6%
No94%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$1K
24h volume on Polymarket
$32K
total volume on Polymarket
1
open of 2 outcomes
Dec 31, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Yes6%6¢$1KTrade
No94%94¢–Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 6¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket6¢94¢free$1K$36KTrade →
Kalshi6¢94¢0.4¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026
6%▼ 1.0 pts since Sep 28
Yes price
Sep 280% – 15% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 6¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on “Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?”?

On Polymarket, Yes trades at 6%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.