Polymarket "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is 16m-19m, at 61%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $38K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 61¢ reads as a 61% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 61¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Ebenezer" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).
This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.
If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 61¢ for 16m-19m right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More culture markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$305K in 24h on Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$142K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Mar 31, 2027
$118K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Next James Bond actor
Polymarket · Polymarket US · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$62K in 24h on Polymarket
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$61K in 24h, both venues
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 26, 2026
$80K in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office?
On Polymarket, the favourite is 16m-19m, at 61%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.