Polymarket SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Chopsticks catch Starship, is at 59%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $88K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 59¢ reads as a 59% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chopsticks catch Starship | 59% | 59¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Successful splash down | 53% | 53¢ | $1K | Trade |
| November 30, 2026Final | 100% | 100¢ | $13K | |
| Super Heavy booster explodesFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $20K | |
| November 15, 2026Final | 100% | 100¢ | $11K | |
| November 13, 2026Final | 100% | 100¢ | $8K | |
| November 14, 2026Final | 100% | 100¢ | $2K | |
| Chopsticks catch Super Heavy boosterFinal compare | 0% | 0¢ | $22K | |
| October 31, 2026Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 59¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 59¢ for Chopsticks catch Starship right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Chopsticks catch Starship, is at 59%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.