Recurring market

Fed rate decision odds

What will the Fed do at its next meeting? 25 markets we track on this question, 20 priced on both venues; Polymarket lists 6 events and Kalshi 6. This page keeps the same URL every cycle, so it is where the odds live rather than a dated copy.

25 markets we track on this question

MarketChanceVenuesSettles
3%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
<1%Polymarket · KalshiDec 31, 2026
96%PolymarketDec 31, 2026
77%PolymarketDec 9, 2026

Polymarket's Fed rate decision markets

Kalshi's Fed rate decision markets

Where you can trade this

Common questions

What will the Fed do at its next meeting?

25 markets we track on this question, 20 priced on both venues; Polymarket lists 6 events and Kalshi 6.

Why does this page not have a date in its URL?

Because the question recurs and the page is permanent: each occurrence prices here in turn, so the links and authority it earns accumulate on one URL instead of restarting with every cycle.