Will Bill Dally be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Odds and prices
"Will Bill Dally be the next CEO of NVIDIA" is priced at 0% on Polymarket, 2% on Polymarket US and 1% on Kalshi, where Kalshi has no live quote: the venues disagree, so 1% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Dec 31, 2028; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $1K | $40K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $10K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.
The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will settle to Yes if Bill Dally is the next person to assume the position of Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of NVIDIA Corporation, after Jensen Huang, by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
Full settlement wording
This market will settle to Yes if Bill Dally is the next person to assume the position of Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of NVIDIA Corporation, after Jensen Huang, by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from NVIDIA.
A person will be considered to assume the position of CEO of NVIDIA when they are appointed as CEO by NVIDIA's Board of Directors, or otherwise formally appointed to the role, and begin serving in the role. The announcement of a successor alone will not qualify.
Service by acting or interim CEOs of NVIDIA does not constitute holding the position of CEO of NVIDIA.
If no new CEO of NVIDIA assumes the position by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle to No.
For full rules, see: https://polymarketexchange.com/files/product-terms/NPHC.pdf.
If Bill Dally is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for NVIDIA before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
An official announcement by NVIDIA is sufficient to resolve the market. The person need not begin the CEO position. Interim or acting appointments do not qualify. The full NEWROLE rules govern resolution.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Bill Dally be the next CEO of NVIDIA"?
The venues disagree: 0% on Polymarket, 2% on Polymarket US and 1% on Kalshi. The 1% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Bill Dally be the next CEO of NVIDIA"?
On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.