Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Kalshi odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Rene Haas, at 28%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2029, and $1.9M traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 28¢ reads as a 28% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.
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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them
22 of these outcomes are priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Haas compare | 28% | 28¢ | $184K | Trade |
| Ian Buck compare | 18% | 18¢ | $121K | Trade |
| Colette Kress | 11% | 11¢ | $123K | Trade |
| Jensen Huang compare | 9% | 9¢ | $956K | Trade |
| Johny Srouji compare | 8% | 8¢ | $46K | Trade |
| Nikesh Arora compare | 5% | 5¢ | $75K | Trade |
| Tim Cook compare | 2% | 2¢ | $100K | Trade |
| Lisa Su compare | 2% | 2¢ | $39K | Trade |
| Debora Shoquist compare | 2% | 2¢ | $22K | Trade |
| Matt Garman compare | 2% | 2¢ | $16K | Trade |
Show 25 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Puri compare | 2% | 2¢ | $14K | Trade |
| Michael Kagan compare | 2% | 2¢ | $12K | Trade |
| Bryan Catanzaro | 2% | 2¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Matt Murphy | 2% | 2¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Thomas Kurian compare | 1% | 1¢ | $47K | Trade |
| Chris A. Malachowsky compare | 1% | 1¢ | $28K | Trade |
| Jeff Fisher | 1% | 1¢ | $44K | Trade |
| Nick Parker compare | 1% | 1¢ | $22K | Trade |
| Satya Nadella | 1% | 1¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Jonah Alben compare | 1% | 1¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Bill Dally compare | 1% | 1¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Madison Huang compare | 1% | 1¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Eric Schmidt compare | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Cristiano Amon | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Bret Taylor | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Lip-Bu Tan | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Pat Gelsinger compare | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Hock Tan compare | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Spencer Huang compare | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Harvey C. Jones | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Stephen Neal | 1% | 1¢ | $561 | Trade |
| Nico Caprez compare | 1% | 1¢ | $139 | Trade |
| Emmett Shear | 1% | 1¢ | $124 | Trade |
| Manuvir Das | 1% | 1¢ | $94 | Trade |
| Curtis Priem | 1% | 1¢ | $94 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 28¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question
The same question on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1.0¢ | $110K | $24K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 26¢cheapest to buy | 75¢ | 1.3–1.8¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1.4¢ | $184K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2029.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 28¢ for Rene Haas right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on “Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?”?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Rene Haas, at 28%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.