Polymarket market

Polymarket Illinois Governor Election odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is JB Pritzker (D), at 97%. The market settles by Nov 3, 2026, and $27 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 97¢ reads as a 97% chance. It also trades on Polymarket US, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

JB Pritzker (D)97%
Darren Bailey (R)3%
$27
24h volume on Polymarket
$28K
total volume on Polymarket
2
open of 2 outcomes
Nov 3, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Illinois Governor Election
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
JB Pritzker (D)97%97¢$0Trade
Darren Bailey (R)3%3¢$27Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 97¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · JB Pritzker (D)
97%▼ 0.1 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1888% – 100% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 3, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 97¢ for JB Pritzker (D) right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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The same question trades on Polymarket US too: Polymarket US's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Illinois Governor Election?

On Polymarket, the favourite is JB Pritzker (D), at 97%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.