Kalshi Iowa Senate odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Ashley Hinson, at 59%. The market settles by Jan 4, 2027, and $60K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 59¢ reads as a 59% chance. We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet, so there is no second price.
Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
Kalshi · odds · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 59¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?” A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jan 4, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 59¢ for Ashley Hinson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More politics markets
Texas Senate
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Jan 4, 2027
$1.8M in 24h on Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$1.6M in 24h on Polymarket
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...
Polymarket · resolves Oct 31, 2026
$1.3M in 24h on Polymarket
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power
Kalshi · resolves Feb 1, 2027
$1.0M in 24h on Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 27, 2026
$989K in 24h on Polymarket
Brazil Presidential election
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 25, 2027
$4.7M in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Iowa Senate?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Ashley Hinson, at 59%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.