Polymarket Mississippi Senate Election odds
On Polymarket, Scott Colom (D) closed at 99%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 99¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · final prices · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Colom (D) | 99% | 99¢ | $28K |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) compare | 1% | 1¢ | $28K |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 99¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. Trading has ended; these are the last prices each venue quoted.
| Venue | Yes last price | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1¢ | Still open on this venue |
| Kalshi | 2¢ | Still open on this venue |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market settled
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 3, 2026.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Mississippi Senate Election?
On Polymarket, Scott Colom (D) closed at 99%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.