Polymarket Next Prime Minister of Spain odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Alberto Núñez Feijóo, at 93%. The market settles by Nov 29, 2026, and $259K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 93¢ reads as a 93% chance. It also trades on Polymarket US, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 93% | 93¢ | $92K | Trade |
| Pedro Sánchez | 7% | 7¢ | $88K | Trade |
| Santiago Abascal | 1% | 1¢ | $33K | Trade |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | <1% | <1¢ | $23K | Trade |
| Carlos Cuerpo | – | – | $23K | Trade |
| Yolanda Díaz | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Óscar Puente | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| María Jesús Montero | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Miguel Tellado | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Carles Puigdemont | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 10 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ester Muñoz | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Borja Sémper | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Cuca Gamarra | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Pepa Millán | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Ernest Urtasun | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Aitor Esteban | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Emiliano García-Page | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Félix Bolaños | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Juanma Moreno | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Salvador Illa | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 93¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 29, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 93¢ for Alberto Núñez Feijóo right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
The same question trades on Polymarket US too: Polymarket US's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Next Prime Minister of Spain?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Alberto Núñez Feijóo, at 93%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.