Polymarket Next Senate Majority Leader odds
On Polymarket, Chuck Schumer closed at 93%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 93¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. The settlement rules below say what decided the result.
Polymarket · final prices · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 93% | 93¢ | $65K |
| Chris Van Hollen | 6% | 6¢ | $35K |
| Brian Schatz | 1% | 1¢ | $5K |
| John Thune | <1% | <1¢ | $1K |
| Steve Daines | <1% | <1¢ | $1K |
| Amy Klobuchar | <1% | <1¢ | $5K |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | <1¢ | $4K |
| Cory Booker | <1% | <1¢ | $2K |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | <1¢ | $0 |
| Patty Murray | <1% | <1¢ | $1K |
Show 2 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Barrasso | <1% | <1¢ | $0 |
| Lindsey GrahamFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 93¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market settled
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 3, 2026.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Next Senate Majority Leader?
On Polymarket, Chuck Schumer closed at 93%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Trading has ended on Polymarket. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues in general.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.