Kalshi Pro Basketball MVP odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Victor Wembanyama, at 29%. The market settles by Jul 31, 2027, and $84K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 29¢ reads as a 29% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
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Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket: 6 questions compared ↓
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama compare | 29% | 29¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander compare | 18% | 18¢ | $849 | Trade |
| Nikola Jokić | 13% | 13¢ | $136 | Trade |
| Luka Doncic | 9% | 9¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Anthony Edwards compare | 9% | 9¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Jayson Tatum | 6% | 6¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 6% | 6¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Tyrese Maxey compare | 5% | 5¢ | $36K | Trade |
| Jalen Brunson | 3% | 3¢ | $187 | Trade |
| Cade Cunningham | 3% | 3¢ | $62 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 1% | 1¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Cooper Flagg | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Scottie Barnes | 1% | 1¢ | $281 | Trade |
| VJ Edgecombe | 1% | 1¢ | $281 | Trade |
| Kawhi Leonard | 1% | 1¢ | $94 | Trade |
| LeBron James compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jaylen Brown | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LaMelo Ball | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Joel Embiid | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Stephen Curry | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jalen Johnson | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dylan Harper | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Paolo Banchero | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Donovan Mitchell | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Anthony Davis | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Zion Williamson | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Trae Young | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jalen Green | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Alperen Sengun compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Deni Avdija | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| OG Anunoby | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Paul George | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jalen Williams | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Derrick White | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kon Knueppel | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chet Holmgren | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Devin Booker | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
14 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 29¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 25¢cheapest to buy | 75¢ | free | $119 | $10K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 29¢ | 72¢ | 1.4¢ | $5K | – | Trade → |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 18¢ | 83¢ | free | $469 | $11K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 18¢ | 83¢ | 1.0¢ | $849 | – | Trade → |
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 11¢ | 89¢ | free | $246 | $13K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 9¢cheapest to buy | 92¢ | 0.5¢ | $8K | – | Trade → |
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 7¢ | 94¢ | free | $5K | $14K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 5¢cheapest to buy | 95¢ | 0.3¢ | $36K | – | Trade → |
Will Alperen Sengun win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | free | $196 | $6K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will LeBron James win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | free | $10 | $16K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will Victor Wembanyama win MVP?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jul 31, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 29¢ for Victor Wembanyama right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Pro Basketball MVP?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Victor Wembanyama, at 29%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 6 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.