Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP" at 18%, with 2 venues quoting at the same price. The contract settles by Jun 30, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 18¢ | 83¢ | free | $469 | $11K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 18¢ | 83¢ | 1.0¢ | $849 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins the Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP"?
Markets currently price it at 18% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.