Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? Odds and prices
"Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup" is priced at 31% on Polymarket and 40% on Kalshi, 9 points apart: the venues disagree, so 35% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Feb 5, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 31¢cheapest to buy | 70¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | $761 | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 40¢ | 60¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC Asian Cup.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC Asian Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup per the rules of the AFC (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is the 2027 AFC Asian Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
Related markets
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: FC Barcelona 63% · $8.0M 24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
Bengals vs. Ravens
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Cincinnati Bengals 59% · $2.7M 24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
49ers vs. Falcons
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: San Francisco 49ers 58% · $2.1M 24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
Giants vs. Texans
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Houston Texans 81% · $1.8M 24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Leeds United FC 36% · $1.6M 24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: FC Bayern München 68% · $1.3M 24h volume, both venues
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ at execution.
Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup"?
The venues disagree: 31% on Polymarket and 40% on Kalshi. The 35% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.