Health prediction markets
Health prediction markets price pandemics, case counts and drug approvals. 30 health questions are trading on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi, led by “Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted”. This is one of the smallest categories, so prices can rest on little money. Check each market's volume before you trust its price.
Updated
Most traded health markets
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Polymarket · resolves Jun 30, 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted
Polymarket · resolves Jun 30, 2027
Anthropic lab leak
Health markets priced on both venues
The busiest health markets two or more venues list. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Chance of Yes
2¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Dec 31, 2026
New pandemic before 2028?
Chance of Yes
1¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Dec 31, 2027
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?
Chance of Yes
Same priceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Every health market, priced
Chance is the favourite's price on a board of outcomes, the favoured side of a match, or the named market's Yes price, on its venue.
Health markets closing this week
Polymarket or Kalshi for health markets?
Open health events right now: 24 on Polymarket, 0 on Polymarket US and 6 on Kalshi.
No venue trades much here yet, so compare every venue's price before you buy.
- Regulated
- International exchange; US residents trade on Polymarket US
- You fund with
- Crypto, held as pUSD (Polygon)
- Open health markets
- 24 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange (QCX LLC)
- You fund with
- Debit card, ACH, wire
- Open health markets
- 0 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket US's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange
- You fund with
- ACH, RTP, debit card and 7 more
- Open health markets
- 6 markets
- Fees
- Kalshi's fees
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
Check your state before you sign up · Kalshi vs Polymarket in full · Best prediction market apps
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What health markets you can trade
Most health markets ask whether something happens by a date, or how high a case count climbs.
- Whether a pandemic is declared this year
- Case counts for diseases such as measles
- FDA approvals and filings
- Public health emergencies
What moves health odds
Official data moves these markets, such as weekly case reports or an agency's decision.
Volume is low, so one order can move a price a long way. That is the honest limit of this category.
More health markets
Other categories
Common questions
What are health prediction markets?
Markets on health outcomes, such as a pandemic declaration or a case count. Each price reads as a probability.
Why are health markets so quiet?
Few traders follow them. With little money on a market, its price is a weaker signal.
How do health markets settle?
On the official source the rules name, such as a public health agency's published count.
Can I trade health markets in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US or Kalshi. Check your state for any action against specific contracts.