Health prediction markets
Health prediction markets price pandemics, case counts and drug approvals. 25 health questions are trading on Polymarket and Kalshi, led by “New pandemic in 2026”. This is one of the smallest categories, so prices can rest on little money. Check each market's volume before you read much into its price.
Updated
Most traded health markets
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
New pandemic in 2026
Polymarket · resolves Oct 31, 2026
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Health markets priced on both venues
The busiest health markets both venues list. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
New pandemic in 2026?
Chance of Yes
1¢ cheaper on PolymarketResolves Dec 31, 2026
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?
Chance of Yes
No live quote on PolymarketResolves Dec 31, 2026
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?
Chance of Yes
4¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Nov 30, 2026
Every health market, priced
Chance is the favourite's price on a board of outcomes, the favoured side of a match, or the named market's Yes price, on its venue.
Polymarket or Kalshi for health markets?
Polymarket lists 19 open health events right now, and Kalshi lists 6.
Neither venue trades much here yet, so compare both prices before you buy.
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated, via Polymarket US
- You fund with
- Debit card, ACH, wire in the US; crypto, held as pUSD (Polygon) abroad
- Open health markets
- 19 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange
- You fund with
- ACH, RTP, debit card and 7 more
- Open health markets
- 6 markets
- Fees
- Kalshi's fees
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What health markets you can trade
Most health markets ask whether something happens by a date, or how high a case count climbs.
- Whether a pandemic is declared this year
- Case counts for diseases such as measles
- FDA approvals and filings
- Public health emergencies
What moves health odds
Official data moves these markets, such as weekly case reports or an agency's decision.
Volume is low, so one order can move a price a long way. That is the honest limit of this category.
More health markets
Other categories
Common questions
What are health prediction markets?
Markets on health outcomes, such as a pandemic declaration or a case count. Each price reads as a probability.
Why are health markets so quiet?
Few traders follow them. With little money on a market, its price is a weaker signal.
How do health markets settle?
On the official source the rules name, such as a public health agency's published count.
Can I trade health markets in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US or Kalshi. Check your state for any action against specific contracts.