Polymarket US Best Chinese AI Company end of November odds
On Polymarket US, the favourite is Xiaomi, at 54%. That is up 17 points over the past week. The market settles by Nov 30, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 54¢ reads as a 54% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
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Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Polymarket US · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: 5 questions compared ↓
Polymarket US odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiaomi compare | 54% | 54¢ | – | Trade |
| Alibaba compare | 33% | 33¢ | – | Trade |
| Z.ai compare | 7% | 7¢ | – | Trade |
| Tencent | 5% | 5¢ | – | Trade |
| DeepSeek compare | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
| StepFun | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
| Moonshot compare | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
| Baidu | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
| MiniMax | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
| Meituan | 2% | 2¢ | – | Trade |
Show 1 more outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ByteDance | – | – | – | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 54¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket US vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 56¢ | 44¢ | 1.0¢ | $342 | $7K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 54¢cheapest to buy | 47¢ | 1.7–2.4¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 35¢ | 65¢ | 0.9¢ | $80 | $6K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 33¢cheapest to buy | 68¢ | 1.5–2.1¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 5¢cheapest to buy | 95¢ | 0.2¢ | $117 | $6K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 7¢ | 94¢ | 0.4–0.6¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $67 | $6K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $47 | $7K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | – | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “Best Chinese AI Company end of November?: Xiaomi”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Nov 30, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket US
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 54¢ for Xiaomi right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
$25 bonusNew to Polymarket US? Deposit $10, get a $25 bonus through our link. US only, 18+.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket US odds on Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
On Polymarket US, the favourite is Xiaomi, at 54%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 5 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket US odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?
A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 to 0.095 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢. Your 30-day volume sets the rate, and resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.