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Polymarket Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Philippines, at 68%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 68¢ reads as a 68% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

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Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Philippines68%
Malaysia29%
Laos10%
Vietnam5%
Thailand1%

All 11 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$3K
24h volume on Polymarket
$19K
total volume on Polymarket
7
open of 11 outcomes
Nov 14, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Philippines68%68¢$1KTrade
Malaysia29%29¢$683Trade
Laos10%10¢$678Trade
Vietnam compare 5%5¢$102Trade
Thailand1%1¢$114Trade
South Korea1%1¢$81Trade
Cambodia<1%<1¢$130Trade
Mongolia––$44Trade
Bhutan––$4Trade
Bangladesh––$0Trade
Show 1 more outcome
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Nepal––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 68¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Vietnam win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents5¢95¢0.2¢$102$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus5¢95¢0.3¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Philippines
68%▲ 34.5 pts since Nov 7
Yes price
Nov 726% – 68% scaleNov 14

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country ranked first by points received from the public vote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below.

Countries will be ranked according to the total number of points received from the public vote in the Grand Final. If two or more countries are tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the national juries. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking.

If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 68¢ for Philippines right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Philippines, at 68%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.