Kalshi market

Kalshi Avengers: Doomsday: Cast odds

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Halle Berry as Storm?, is at 25%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2027, and $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 25¢ reads as a 25% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Halle Berry as Storm?25%
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?79%
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?21%
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?54%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?70%

All 19 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket: compare both

15 of these outcomes are priced on Polymarket too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.

$3K
24h volume on Kalshi
$973K
total volume on Kalshi
$314K
open interest
Jan 1, 2027
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Halle Berry as Storm? compare 25%25¢$776Trade
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? compare 79%79¢$451Trade
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? compare 21%21¢$297Trade
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?54%54¢$211Trade
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?70%70¢$193Trade
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? compare 45%45¢$180Trade
Jonathan Majors as Kang? compare 8%8¢$163Trade
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? compare 79%79¢$102Trade
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?51%51¢$67Trade
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? compare 54%54¢$53Trade
Show 9 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? compare 23%23¢$26Trade
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? compare 93%93¢$2Trade
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? compare 63%63¢$2Trade
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? compare 90%90¢$1Trade
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? compare 92%92¢$0Trade
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? compare 89%89¢$0Trade
Benedict Wong as Wong?75%75¢$0Trade
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? compare 72%72¢$0Trade
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? compare 12%12¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 25¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents93¢7¢free$2$471Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus93¢7¢0.5¢$2–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Halle Berry as Storm?
27%▲ 6.0 pts since Oct 20
Yes price
Oct 2016% – 27% scaleOct 26

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Halle Berry perform as Storm in Avengers: Doomsday?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2027.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Is Kalshi legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 25¢ for Halle Berry as Storm? right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Avengers: Doomsday: Cast?

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Halle Berry as Storm?, is at 25%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.