Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Hugh Jackman as Wolverine, is at 92%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 92¢ reads as a 92% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
15 of these outcomes are priced on Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine compare | 92% | 92¢ | $560 | Trade |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel compare | 49% | 49¢ | $390 | Trade |
| Halle Berry as Storm compare | 18% | 18¢ | $352 | Trade |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man compare | 28% | 28¢ | $242 | Trade |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk | 68% | 68¢ | $190 | Trade |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang compare | 9% | 9¢ | $176 | Trade |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan | 51% | 51¢ | $151 | Trade |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez | 55% | 55¢ | $129 | Trade |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel compare | 72% | 72¢ | $72 | Trade |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man compare | 93% | 93¢ | $40 | Trade |
Show 13 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man compare | 46% | 46¢ | $39 | Trade |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts compare | 62% | 62¢ | $32 | Trade |
| Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch | 63% | 63¢ | $30 | Trade |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange compare | 88% | 88¢ | $11 | Trade |
| Benedict Wong as Wong | 74% | 74¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine compare | 19% | 19¢ | $5 | Trade |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau compare | 82% | 82¢ | $4 | Trade |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool compare | 89% | 89¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop compare | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp compare | 10% | 10¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kathryn Newton as Cassie LangFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| Simu Liu as Shang-ChiFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| Hayley Atwell as Peggy CarterFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 92¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 92¢cheapest to buy | 9¢ | free | $560 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 93¢ | 8¢ | 0.5¢ | $96 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 92¢ for Hugh Jackman as Wolverine right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?”?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Hugh Jackman as Wolverine, is at 92%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.