Kalshi market

Kalshi Los Angeles Mayor odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Nithya Raman, at 55%. The market settles by Jun 2, 2027, and $28K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 55¢ reads as a 55% chance. We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet, so there is no second price.

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Kalshi · odds · updated

Nithya Raman55%
Karen Bass44%
$28K
24h volume on Kalshi
$42.7M
total volume on Kalshi
$15.6M
open interest
Jun 2, 2027
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Los Angeles Mayor
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Nithya Raman55%55¢$11KTrade
Karen Bass44%44¢$17KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 55¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Nithya Raman
55%▲ 0.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1843% – 55% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?” A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Jun 2, 2027.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 55¢ for Nithya Raman right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Los Angeles Mayor?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Nithya Raman, at 55%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.