Polymarket Ljubljana Mayoral Election odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Zoran Janković, at 78%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $158K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 78¢ reads as a 78% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 6 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoran Janković compare | 78% | 78¢ | $74K | Trade |
| Luka Mesec compare | 23% | 23¢ | $39K | Trade |
| Aleksandar Repić compare | <1% | <1¢ | $37K | Trade |
| Anton Rop compare | <1% | <1¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Aleš Primc compare | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Gregor Novak compare | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Klemen Boštjančič | – | – | $1K | Trade |
| Aleš Vrhovec | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jasmin Feratović | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mihael Jarc | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 1 more outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apolonija Simon | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 78¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 78¢ | 23¢ | 0.7¢ | $74K | $35K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 76¢cheapest to buy | 24¢ | 1.3¢ | $5K | – | Trade → |
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 23¢ | 77¢ | 0.7¢ | $39K | $49K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 22¢cheapest to buy | 78¢ | 1.2¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $37K | $33K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $60 | – | Trade → |
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $37K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $47 | – | Trade → |
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $8K | $41K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $58 | – | Trade → |
Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $40K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 78¢ for Zoran Janković right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Ljubljana Mayoral Election?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Zoran Janković, at 78%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 6 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.